In just one month, Joe Biden was blackmailed by the Democrat Party elites and the megadonor course to keep the race. The party grew around her and started giving suddenly almost immediately after he dropped out and supported Kamala Harris. The group was immediately uncovered by the media narrative that it was excited and united behind her.  ,
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Because it was clear that Biden could n’t win, supporters forced Biden out, giving the party the chance that Kamala will do what Biden could n’t do: win.
We’re in the honeymoon stage of Kamala’s nomination, and Democrats are excited. However, CNN polling expert Harry Enten’s claim that while Harris is currently in a stronger position than Biden was when he dropped out, the Democrats are n’t exactly in better shape with her on the top of the ticket may have stifled Democrats ‘ hopes this week.
For one thing, Enten noted that despite his ancient popularity, Donald Trump has just “recorded his highest ever positive score of 40 %”, in the latest ABC News/Ipsos Poll. Because the most recent Quinnipiac University poll similarly indicated him with the highest favorability ratings it’s ever seen, this was n’t a “one-off.”  ,
According to Enten,” Donald Trump is more common today than he has ever been.” ” But well, Democrats can make this switch-a-roo, but they’re also going to have to beat Donald Trump—a Donald Trump who is stronger… than he has ever been before”.
Enten pointed out that even though Harris nationwide polls favorably against Biden, Trump still holds a slender lead in the polls conducted nationwide. This is a big issue for Harris because, generally, Democrats fare better in the nationwide popular vote than the Electoral College, particularly against Trump.  ,
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According to Enten, “at this level, whether you look at the favorability ratings or the horses race voting,”” we see that Donald Trump is doing considerably better than he was doing now,” he said.
” Kamala Harris will need to do better than this if she wants to win the famous vote,” he said, adding that, in addition, she will probably need to do so if she wants to win the Electoral College, which she will likely have to exceed how she has done nationwide that, in reality, a link in the nationwide popular vote is probably not good enough if you are Kamala Harris and you want to defeat Donald Trump,”
Beating Trump wo n’t be easy. His rating is now higher than it has ever been ( based on two weekend polls ).
Harris may perform better in polls than Biden did against Trump, but Trump is now 5 points ahead of Biden in the polls nationwide in 2020. twitter.com/cnOtUKtWXe
— ( ( ( Harry Enten ) ) ) ( @ForecasterEnten ) July 23, 2024
Harris also has issues with her appeal to young voters. Although she still has a nine-point advantage over Trump among voters under the age of 35, Biden’s 21-point advantage with young voters in 2020 pales in comparison.
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Brat Summer or not, I was curious to see if Harris has a special appeal for young voters. She does n’t. She is far worse in opposition to Trump than Biden was in 2020.
Additionally, young Democrats are NOT disproportionately more motivated to vote than other Democrats because of Biden’s exit image. twitter.com/WpH5Sf4vPE
— ( ( ( Harry Enten ) ) ) ( @ForecasterEnten ) July 24, 2024
So, yes, the race has tightened but not enough for Kamala Harris to pull off a victory. There’s still plenty of time though.
