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    Home » Blog » What Does Warren Buffett Know About the Upcoming Recession That We Don’t?

    What Does Warren Buffett Know About the Upcoming Recession That We Don’t?

    August 13, 2024Updated:August 13, 2024 US News No Comments
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    Doubts of a looming crisis were sparked by the July jobs report and later market sell-off last year. In the knowledge that a recession would end the Harris campaign, the popular media has been violently downplaying those concerns. There are still signs of economic unrest back. Look no further than the new steps of the left-wing billionaire Warren Buffett if you want more evidence that problem is on the ocean.

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    According to a new report, Buffett sold$ 77 billion worth of shares in Q2. According to the Motley Fool, an investment advice website,” That far exceeds any sum Buffett has always sold in any given year, let alone in a second quarter.” With only$ 1.6 billion in stock buys made last quarter, Buffett has had seven straight quarters where he has been a net property owner. This, according to the article, was” the biggest warning yet that Buffett does n’t see a lot to like in the current stock market”.

    By far the biggest share price was Buffett’s determination to trim Berkshire’s position in Apple ( NASDAQ: AAPL). At one point, Apple accounted for nearly 50 % of Berkshire’s full investment. As of June 30, though, Berkshire’s Apple shares were worth$ 84.2 billion, or 29.5 % of the company’s equity investments. That suggests a price of about quarter of Berkshire’s Apple stock last quarter.

    At the shareholder meeting last year, Buffett described Apple as” a better company than any we own” and for the second straight quarter as a “better business than any we own.” At the most recent investor meet, he explained the sales ‘ justification. He thinks the current corporate tax code is quite favorable, and he’s willing to pay it so he can avoid paying higher taxes in the future. The expenditure in Apple has made a sizable investment get for Berkshire.

    Buffett has also been selling$ 3.8 billion worth of Bank of America ( NYSE: BAC ) stock since mid-July, trimming another top holding since the end of the quarter. Berkshire is also making a sizable profit off of those stocks. &nbsp,

    That being said, it’s one thing to carefully invest in capital gains to guarantee a lower tax rate. However, if Buffett saw favorable opportunities in the market, he could immediately reinvest that money ( less the estimated tax bill ). Since the wash sale rule does n’t apply to capital gains, but only to capital losses, he could even immediately buy back the shares he sold without incurring any penalties.

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    Buffett has sold more shares than he has purchased in nearly two years, but he has regularly used Berkshire Hathaway’s more funds to buy its own stocks, according to the statement. Since changing the share buyback program in 2018, Buffett has n’t frequently skipped a quarter of repurchases. &nbsp,

    However, in June, he did n’t buy back any shares for the first time since May 2022, with the entire quarter’s buybacks totaling just$ 345 million — the smallest since 2018. Buffett’s caution on repurchases indicates that he does n’t see his own stock as a good value currently, leading to growing cash and Treasury holdings.

    Related: Crisis Concerns Continue

    Buffett is always supportive of the American economy over the long term, but he does n’t appear to be seeing many positive stock market investments right now, the report goes on. ” Valuations are stretched, and future expected returns do n’t look as good as in the recent past. Even with the most recent decline in shares, investors may struggle to find great value in the current market. Despite the recent sell-off, the S&amp, P 500 still investments at around the same amount as it did in May”.

    Something is undoubtedly away.

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