Another apostle of disaster claims that this dispatch is missing. Another prophet of disaster leaving you to count the cost” . , —Iron Maiden,” Die with Your Boots On”
We’re entering the closing quarter of the 2024 presidential vote. Thoughts are whirling, stress is growing, one’s on pins and needles. We’re famished for the quality and words of wisdom and looking for a way to find meaning in it all.
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The truth is, anyone really knows who’s “winning” right then. ( And besides, “winning” an election before Election Day is kind of like “winning” the Super Bowl on the preceding Saturday: It does n’t really mean anything. ) Simply put, there are too many moving components. Because of deaths, immigration ( illegal and otherwise ), COVID-related rule-changes, state-to-state migration, and more, there is n’t anyone alive who can legitimately tell you who’s ahead and who’s behind.
But that wo n’t stop’ em from trying.
There’s no lack of “experts” who’ll tell you whatever you want to learn. Whether you’re on the Left or the Right, you can find a journalist who’ll show you all great. Since the dawn of time, there’s always been wonderful social capital in claiming insight somebody else lacks, whether it’s revelation, financial information, political options, or divine information.  ,
But ultimately, the birds come home to roost.
It happened in 2012. If you remember, Dick Morris and Karl Rove were all over FOX News in the run-up to the poll, guaranteeing that Mitt Romney was cruising to win. But their reasoning was immoral. ( In truth, I was so annoyed by ‘ boyz, I wrote an essay to a FOX News producer-buddy. He sent it to the FOX News mind editor, who really published it as a two-parter, of course, with the caveat that I had my accusations of Rove and Morris.
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I think that Mitt Romney lost, which is why Rose is still on FOX News.
” Taunting us with visions, afflicting us with anxiety. Predicting was for million, in the desire that one appears”. —Iron Maiden,” Die with Your Boots On”
Because they were confident in their statements about unknown results, I knew Rove and Morris were mistaken. It’s not that I’m smarter, it’s that I’m wise enough to hear what I’m silly at. Sometimes, the right answer is,” I do n’t know” . ,
Even if you really, really, REALLY wish you knew.
But please believe me: We do not realize if Donald Trump is winning.
If you’re pro-MAGA, there are enough reasons for enthusiasm: When you track how Trump polled in different states against Clinton and Biden, we may compare it with the future benefits. By some metrics, Trump is performing much in 2024 than he did in 2016 or 2020. If everything else is the same, it would appear that Trump’s direction is precisely where it should be.
However, this is a distinct nation at this time.
In 2016, Elon Musk was also a liberal warrior, Dick and Liz Cheney were rock-solid conservatives, and all wanted to go to a Puff Daddy group. Artificial intelligence existed, but it could n’t hold a conversation with you. Since then, a lot has changed: Zoomers have taken the place of the oldest generation of Americans, including people of the Greatest Generation. Voting profits in battleground states have changed as a result of COVID-fueled journeys. Absent and/or rural ballot was the exception, not the law. There was n’t a hot war in Europe, there was n’t runaway inflation, our priorities were dramatically different.
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But we keep demanding to know the potential — now, now. We keep searching for a modern-day Michel de Nostradamus to show what’s to come. And speaking of Nostradamus:  ,
” ‘ Thirteen: The Beast is rising!’ the Frenchman did conclude. Through disasters and hunger, the Warlord may happen”. —Iron Maiden,” Die with Your Boots On”
The most accurate response a journalist can offer is this: Some metrics favor Trump while some lean toward Harris. An intelligent, fair-minded pollster could make a credible argument either way, and it would n’t be malpractice. But there are too many possibilities. ( One of the biggest unknowns is how determined Democratic voters will be to support a candidate they do n’t know very well. )
Social voting is kind of like forecasting the course of a cyclone weeks in advance: You know what’s happened in the past, and you can make sure extrapolations, but more often than not, that storms is gonna do something unexpected. Might not be straight ahead. In a few days, perhaps. However, it practically never completely follows the predetermined course.
And only one little, little wobble may change the entire trajectory.
” Terror, dying, death pour from the Eastern sand. However, the accuracy of all forecasts is always in your control. —Iron Maiden,” Die with Your Boots On”
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There is still time to fulfill your prophesy if you think Trump will win in 2024. It’s within your grasp. Trump is unquestionably capable of winning. And actually, I think he did.
Simply put, we’ll had to work for it.