Kamala Harris has surpassed him in the RealClearPolitics national polling average as of Friday night after receiving a ton of positive voting late:
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11 times until Election Day! Here’s how the 2024 presidential contest compares to the same place in the 2020 and 2016 primaries, according to the RCP surveys statistics. photograph. twitter.com/cjebQJ74Kg— Matt Margolis ( @mattmargolis ) October 25, 2024
This is great. As CNN’s chief polling analyst, Harry Enten, noted Friday night,” Trump may eventually get his great bright whale”, referring to his long-standing achievement of winning the national popular vote — a miracle Trump missed in both 2016 and 2020.
As you know, recent polling shows this vote is going to be tight, but Kamala’s advantage has plummeted.
Kamala and Trump are basically in a dead warmth in Enten’s most recent federal poll. ” That New York Times surveys— a tie”, Enten explained, represents” the middle of the spectrum” of new elections. Some surveys, like CNBC and the Wall Street Journal, also offer Trump a little advantage, while others show Harris holding onto a small guide. According to Enten, Harris’s prospect” 3 positions, according to Ipsos” is also” well within the margin of error”. At this point, quite close matches against a Democrat are strange and could signal an unheard-of change for a Republican prospect. ” I have n’t heard about a Republican potentially winning the popular vote in a while”, he said, recalling that “it has n’t happened since 2004”, when George W. Bush defeated John Kerry.
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” So the fact that the polls are so close right now… and that Donald Trump has a good chance of winning the popular vote is something I believe many people, including those in my field of work, did n’t think could possibly occur when Donald Trump ran last time.” He could make history, not just for Donald Trump ,]but ] for a Republican candidate, as well”.
” I think Democrats ‘ eyes are all exploding out that, watching this right now”, observed CNN’s John Berman.  ,
I bet they are.
But obviously, being CNN, they needed to convince their democratic people that Trump was n’t going to win. But Berman and Enten discussed the possibility that Trump might receive a majority of votes but lose the Electoral College. Given that the Electoral College generally believes that Republicans are in the minority at the moment, for a situation is highly unlikely. However, Enten believes that Trump’s influence in significant Democrat heartlands like California and New York might be a contributing factor.
” You you drill down into the state-level voting and you can see that Donald Trump is doing especially well in California, Florida, New York, and Texas”, he says.  ,” Of training, none of these claims are really on the table at this point. But Donald Trump may end up winning in the nationwide popular vote elections but really wastes votes, which may in fact lead to Kamala Harris’s potential victory in the electoral college by sweeping those Excellent Lake battleground says, which are currently approach too close to call.
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There’s a true picture Trump may find his great white dolphin: winning the popular vote. Surveys reveal that the culture is basically identical across the country as Trump approaches where he polled in 2016 or 2020.
He’d been the 1st Democrat to get the popular vote in 20 years &, just 2nd in 36 times. photograph. twitter.com/Pp4LJPwUZe
— ( ( ( Harry Enten ) ) ) ( @ForecasterEnten ) October 25, 2024