With four weeks to go before election day, hopes of a Democrat” series” — GOP control of the House, Senate, and White House — are hanging by a thread. With the Democrats forced to defend many vulnerable chairs, many of them in red state, and only able to lose one or two chairs depending on who wins the White House, control of the Senate seems quite sure. However, Democrat control of the House is a completely different issue.
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With a slim majority of four seats in the House, some vulnerable Republicans are in danger. Most importantly, Nebraska Rep. Don Bacon, who has never won his city by more than 3 %, is up against a well-financed challenger in Tony Vargas. The Cook Political Report just moved Bacon’s race from” tossup” to “lean Democratic” . ,
Bacon, a retired Air Force colonel public, has been in close tribes before. This one is likely to be decided by less than 1, 000 seats.
Previous New York City police officer Anthony D’Esposito, a defenseless Republican, defeated progressive lawmaker Rep. Kathleen Rice in 2022. His gain was a big surprise and was attributed to the stronger-than-expected proving of Republican Rep. Lee Zeldin and Rice’s soft-on-crime position.  ,
He defeated in 2022 as a officer in the Long Island community of Howard. He’s running against Laura Gillen. Due to the rising crime rate, the area is becoming less Democrat.  ,
There are 12 different Republican House members considered resilient, according to the Cook Political Report. Six seats in the House were given to Democrats and two to Republicans respectively.
In addition to the Bacon and D’Esposito races, Cook shifted four different tribes toward the Democrats.
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Rep. Andrea Salinas ‘s , (D-Ore. ) reelection bid in Oregon’s 6th Congressional District was shifted from “lean Democrat” to “likely Democrat” due to, in part, the incumbent’s ad-spending advantage, Harris’s double-digit lead in the district and the challenger, Republican Mike Erickson, not getting much assistance from national GOP groups.  ,
Rep. Angie Craig ‘s , (D-Minn. ) race in the North Star State was also updated from “lean Democrat” to “likely Democrat” after posting strong fundraising hauls and being projected to perform better in the polls than Harris in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District.
Republican Tom Barrett, a former state senator,  , is back in the polls in Michigan’s 7th District despite his player outspending him. Cook has shifted that civilization from” tossup” to “lean Democratic”.
The Senate is a much different story altogether. With West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin retiring, the position that Donald Trump won by 40 positions in 2020 will probably choose Republican Jim Judge, the present government. And in Montana, it appears that Sen. Jon Tester, a liberal Democrat, will be finally thrown out of the deep purple state. In the most recent poll, Rep. Tim Sheehey is off eight points.  ,
On election evening, the developer has a talent for pulling a rabbit out of a hat at the last second and squeaking by. That does n’t seem likely this time.
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For the Democrats to keep control of the Senate, they will need to cross a wall anywhere. National Democrats are interested in Texas and Sen. Ted Cruz, who are currently trailing GOP former Colin Allred by around four details, or Nebraska, where separate member Dan Osborn is three points behind GOP former Deb Fischer. Another polls give Fischer a larger benefits.  ,
In any case, Cruz appears to be in good condition in Texas, a state where no Democratic candidate has ever won a contest for governor. Fischer should be able to secure a close success because she is also running in a robust red state. If that’s the case, a GOP trio is within reach.
