The White House fight will be a “pure toss-up,” according to surveys expert Nate Silver’s Gold Bulletin, which released its final prediction a day before polls. Kamala Harris has a 48 % chance of winning while former president Donald Trump has a 51 % chance of winning. His forecast took into account the final battle elections from The New York Times and Morning Consult.
The latest NYT/Sienna elections said Kamala Harris is in the guide in four out of the seven swing declares– Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin. In Arizona, Harris and Trump are tied for second place, with Harris and Trump in third place.
Donald Trump is in favor of the Morning Consult poll, which shows him to be tied for first place in Arizona and Pennsylvania and slightly back in three battle says: Georgia, North Carolina, and Wisconsin.
The polls are close but that does n’t mean results will be, Silver Bulletin analyst Eli Mckown-Dawson wrote. He wrote that Silver Bulletin’s projection has been hovering around 50/50 since mid-September, Trump gained surface in mid-October and Harris regained just a little bit today. “… However, that does n’t mean the actual outcome will be all that close. We’re in for a nail-biter on Tuesday night if the polls are 100 % accurate. However, it’s always possible to make a comprehensive poll error, especially if you believe pollsters just publish results that correspond to the general consensus. Even a simple voting error would alter the race’s situation because things are so near.
” Now it’s important to take note that polling problem can go either way, and it’s pretty much impossible to predict how it will change.” Harris might be able to surpass her elections, but we could suffer a second Trump defeat. But both cases have one thing in common: they’d change election day into a comparative disaster”.
