Voting in the United States is very simple, despite what you hear from Democrats. Mail-in vote, absentee ballots, temporary ballots if you’re never sure, and ranked-choice ballots if you want to deceive anyone.  ,
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But before all that, there’s registering to vote. This, too, is very simple, although potential voters may make an effort to mark up.  ,
The interesting thing about voting licenses is that they provide a “tell” for how an election will turn out. This is especially true in states where gathering registration is required.
Alex Castellanos, top secretary to the efforts of Jeb Bush and Mitt Romney, told Fox News’s” Special Report” that the elections may have missed a “wavelet” of GOP joy.
” What I believe they are missing is a significant change in voter registration under the guise of this.” Thirty-one claims have voter registration by group. The long-time planner said later on Sunday that 30 of them, in the past four decades, have seen a shift toward Republicans.
” I think there’s, I’m not going to call it a storm, but I think there’s a wave out that of Republican joy and register. If I register to vote Republican, whether I’m switching or fresh, what am I going to do”?
One of the most crucial undercurrents of this election is Castellanos believes that the polls ‘ failure to acknowledge the enormous increase in GOP filings may be one of the reasons behind this election’s undercurrent.
” I believe that the polls are making this up. Because they keep giving us the same ballot over and over again, we are all missing anything. There is n’t even statistical variation”, Castellanos said.
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Six of the seven battleground state are so close to the margin of error, according to recent poll, with Arizona the only exception showing a clear head, with Trump leading by four points.
Trump captured a 49 % to 45 % advantage in the Grand Canyon State, while two others show him tied with Harris — with each getting 48 % in Pennsylvania and 47 % in Michigan, according to the final batch of swing state polling from , the New York Times and Siena College.
Harris eked out narrow leads within the margin of error among likely voters in Nevada ( 49 % to 46 % ), North Carolina ( 48 % to 46 % ), Wisconsin ( 49 % to 47 % ) and Georgia ( 48 % to 47 % ).
Last year, Nate Silver made the same level about the elections. Things just are n’t adding up. You might wonder why Harris is also this close to winning in terms of voter attitudes toward the business.
As Gallup has seen since inflation began rising in 2021, more Americans continue to describe national economic conditions as “poor” ( 46 % ) than as “excellent” or “good” ( 25 % ). Likewise, a much larger proportion say the economy is “getting worse” ( 62 % ) rather than “getting better” ( 32 % ). On Gallup’s Economic Confidence Index for October, the average of these online views results in a -26 report. This is based on Gallup’s Oct. 1-12 surveys and is more in line with elections the former group lost ( in 1992 and 2020 ) than won.
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Democrats even enjoy support for three of the most significant problems.
Voters, 44 % to 47 %, think Donald Trump is better able to handle the economy than Kamala Harris. Trump is also perceived as having a better grasp of how he handles immigration ( + 9 percentage points ) and foreign affairs ( + 5 ), compared to Harris ‘ ( +26 ) opinion of abortion ( + 16 ) and healthcare ( + 10 ). On the basis of voters ‘ perceptions of who would much address gun legislation, the prospects are evenly matched.
Overall, just under half of voters are in favor of Trump ( 49 % ) or Harris ( 47 % ) on the issues that most concern them.
Trump and the Republicans should be in great shape with a significant edge in new registrations and a cozy advantage on the problems. But this is a Crazytown election in 2024, and anything ( and everything ) is possible.
