Allan Lichtman, the US election ‘ Nostradamus’, jibed poll master Nate Silver as Silver made his final estimates hours before the election time. Prior to this, Nate previously criticized the polls for making up the race’s tightness and for not showing the actual figures. But in his last forecast, he did something similar and made a 50/50 estimates.
Metal claimed that on Tuesday at nightfall, he pressed the “go” button for the last time this year on his election model. ” I knew it was going to be near. I felt as though I were turning a roulette wheel. ( Appropriate, I guess, in a year when I published a book about gambling. ) We had made the decision to perform 80 000 models ahead of schedule rather than our customary 40K.
Full insurance of poll results
” And after 80, 000 models, Kamala Harris won the Electoral College in … 40, 012 of them, or 50.015 percentage. The remaining 39, 988 were split between Trump ( 39, 718 ) and no majority — a 269-269 tie — which practically speaking would probably be resolved for Trump in the U. S. House”.
” Harris jumped out to a large early lead, forward 50.7%-49.3 % after the 18, 000th model— but next Trump + no lot mounted a exciting comeback. However, Harris continued his winning streak with Simulink #79,# 281, winning 15 of the next 17 to resurrect a 5-sim direct without ever looking up. Trump closed to within single digits again as late as simulation #79, 603, but could n’t seal the deal”.
US Election 2024 life cover
Silver maintained that the competition is now more like a coin flip than a Harris get, even though he claimed his guts had predicted it would be Trump, even though he earlier claimed it was closer.
Allan Lichtman said,” Nate Silver’s compendium of elections is thus unsatisfactory that he now says that who will win the presidency is down to luck.” Lichtman said Kamala Harris would be his model, but that has n’t changed in the campaign because he claimed that it is n’t based on polls but on 13 keys.
Even View:
US Presidential Election | Trump Vs Kamala Harris | Swing States | Donald Trump
