You’re in a jail cell with two windows, each with its own parallel watch. One entry leads to liberty, the other to the executioner. There is no way to show which door leads where because the doors are equivalent and unknown. You can only ask one question to one of the soldiers, but not the other. You do n’t know which one of the two guards is which, but one always tells the truth and the other always lies. The soldiers are aware of the doors that lead to liberty and which one leads to death, but they are unable to identify the hypocrite.
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What do you do with your one problem?
The Two-Guards Riddle is what Polymarket calls the” quiet” Donald Trump voters who defied traditional voting methods in not one but THREE national elections.
It’s understandable that millions of people might not want to tell strangers on the phone that they’re still willing to vote for him if someone has been compared to Hitler, accused of wanting to enslave women, regularly demonized in every other manner, sued, convicted, persistently belittled, and shot at as many times as Trump has.
That’s why so many people were shocked when the Silent Majority on Tuesday gave Trump for a compelling victory — I’m looking at you, Rick Wilson.  ,
You ought to point and laugh at Rick as well as the original conventional who sold his soul to MSNBC for what I’m told was much more than the customary 30 pieces of silver.
I am aware that Rick laughs all the way to the bank, but they wo n’t ever let him let go of his soul.
Sorry. I got off on a topic that. However, you must allow me to gloat a tiny this week.
The answer to the Two-Guards Riddle, it turns out, is practically identical to the way to get those quiet Trump electors.  ,
If you were to ask the other watch which door leads to liberty, which door did he show me to consider, it matters not which watch you use your one issue on.
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Get the other door and hear properly to the response. You’ll get a completely people, guaranteed.  ,
No one is more appreciative of it than the unidentified French bettor” Théo,” who won$ 50 million on a$ 30 million wager on Trump. Théo, who was playing for four different Polymarket transactions, claimed that his bets were “essentially a wager against the reliability of polling information” that showed a close contest. But Théo did n’t just bet on Trump to win. He placed his wager on Trump to win all but one of the popular vote and to get all but one of the tossup claims.
Surveys failed to account for the” quiet Trump voter result”, Théo said. Either Trump backers were reluctant to tell pollsters that they supported the former president, or they did n’t want to participate in polls, Théo wrote.  ,
Théo argued that experts may use what are known as roommate polls, which ask respondents which individuals they anticipate supporting. The concept is that when asked to imagine who their relatives plan to vote for, people might not want to disclose their personal preferences directly but does when asked to do so.
The cousin effect was not widely used in elections. Théo found a couple that did, saw Trump’s aid was stronger than it appeared, and then he guess great.
Even though I was n’t aware of Théo, as regular readers of my Wargaming the Electoral College columns would know, I kept a close eye on Polymarket. Polymarket heard the Silent Majority that the elections missed, in large part because of Théo’s$ 30 million works.  ,
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Do you know why that particular topic to protect runs, or do we need to get into it further in the responses?
Recommended:  , A Fond Appearance Back at Harris’s Train Wreck Car Crash Dumpster Fire Campaign
This is it: Your final chance to take advantage of our best-ever VIP membership cheap. Celebrate Trump 47 with 74 % off… seriously, can that be right? 74 %? Someone at Mothership HQ must have entered my liquor cabinet, but come up before they sob and take my POTUS47 code.
