With the political campaigns beginning in earnest, former president Donald Trump has a national lead over former senator Joe Biden, who has lost his position since Memorial Day 2023.
Three elections in May 2023 found Biden held a prospect over Trump,  , a contrast , to Trump’s prominent global lead one time afterwards:
-
- Biden + 2
- May 20- 22, 2023
- Biden + 2
- May 18- 22,  , 2023
- Biden + 1
- May 22- 24,  , 2023
In 2024, when Trump leads Biden in almost all creation internet polls, he was trailing him in almost all of those polls.
- Trump + 8
- May 15- 16, 2024
- Trump + 5
- May 13- 16, 2024
- Trump + 1
- May 19- 21, 2024
Biden seems to have divided opinion among individuals. Since 2022, his approval rating has remained below 40 %. It is 35 percent right now, up from 38 percent next Memorial Day. A 50 percent approval rating has always been a requirement for leaders to get reelection.
Since May, a number of social factors have emerged. They include: ( 1 ) Trump sustaining several indictments, ( 2 ) Hamas attacking Israel on , October 7, ( 3 ) Americans continue to struggle to keep up with soaring , costs , in Biden’s economy, the number one issue for voters, and ( 4 ) the southern border became a top issue among voters.
WATCH , — , Maher: Biden Would Have Avoided Debates if He Was Winning, Trump Would n’t Avoid Them
- 42 percent said Trump’s career was “mostly fine for America”, compared to only 25 percent for Biden.
- More voters , (up 11 points )  , regard Trump as a” safe choice” than previously viewed in 2016.
- More citizens (up 10 points ) approve of Trump’s management of the business.
- More voters (up 9 points ) think Trump left the country better off.

President Joe Biden attends the NAACP Detroit Branch monthly” Fight for Freedom Fund Dinner” in Detroit, Michigan on May 19, 2024. ( ANDREW CABALLERO- REYNOLDS/AFP via Google Images )
Looking ahead, the following six months will decide who wins election. Disputes may get location, and both parties will maintain standards. Trump’s legal trial may end with ramifications. For alleged weapons and duty violations, Hunter Biden may probably face a test. A “black goose event” was change the social environment. An October surprise could occur as it did in 2016 , ( Russia Hoax ) and 2020 , ( Laptop from Hell ).
Trump appears to have maintained all the speed on Memorial Day, but the Democrats and the operational condition will continue to fight.  ,
Wendell Husebo is a former GOP War Room Analyst and a social writer for Breitbart News. He is the creator of , Politicians of Slave Morality.  , Follow Wendell on ,” X” , @Wendell Husebø or on , Truth Social , @Wendell Husebo.