According to a fresh Fox News national survey, US President Joe Biden has risen to the top of the standings in a speculative contest against former president Donald Trump for the first time since October. This change coincides with a rise in economic optimism, which is Biden’s presidency’s highest degree of acceptance for economic situations.
The study reveals a 3-point change in the race for president since May. Recently, Trump was away by 1 place, but Biden today leads with 50 per cent to Trump’s 48 per share, which is within the margin of error. Biden’s recent 50 per cent aid is his best in this election cycle, he next led Trump in October 2023 by a simple 1 point ( 49 per share- 48 per cent ).
The study notes some events since May that may affect voting preferences, including Trump’s calm money conviction, Hunter Biden’s gun trial conviction, a good US jobs report, and Biden’s immigration executive order.
Since the poll was released in May, there has n’t been much movement in this one, but it suffices to make this a welcome one for Biden, according to Democratic pollster Chris Anderson. ” The ballot preference development is one issue, but perhaps more importantly, we saw significant degradation of Trump’s benefits on the market and immigration, while Biden built on his advantages on abortion and health care”.
The increased vote shows Biden leading Trump by 1 point ( 43 per cent -42 per cent ), with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 10 per cent, and Cornel West and Jill Stein each at 2 per cent. Last month, Trump led Biden by 3 points ( 43 per cent -40 per cent ).
Trump maintains strong support among men ( + 15 ), rural voters ( + 17 ), White men without a degree ( + 30 ), and White evangelical Christians ( + 46 ). Biden counters with strong backing from voters aged 65 and over ( + 15 ), women ( + 17 ), urban voters ( + 23 ), and White women with a college degree ( + 28 per cent ). Biden receives 73 percent of Black voters ‘ support, a slight decrease from the 79 % he had before the 2020 election, when he ultimately received 91 percent of the vote.
According to the Fox News study, political commitment is still high, with 95 % of Republicans backing Trump and 95 % of Democrats backing Biden. Politicians, but, now favor Biden by 9 details, a shift from May when they preferred Trump by 2 positions. Management and integrity are really important to Independents, who view Biden as having more morality by 23 positions, while Trump is seen as a stronger head by 11 points.
Republican poll Daron Shaw remarked,” The main demographic tendencies that have defined the contest remain in place.” ” Biden has somewhat gotten better with women and elders, which keeps him upright despite the significant declines in aid from younger voters and African Americans from 2020,” said Biden.
With a 5-point advantage over Biden, the election results in a very significant outcome for three-quarters of citizens. More citizens over 65 than younger citizens believe the outcome will matter a lot, which might be advantageous for Biden.
In terms of personal favorability, majorities have a negative view of Trump ( 57 per cent ), Vice President Harris ( 57 per cent ), Biden ( 56 per cent ), and Kennedy ( 51 per cent ). Among Democrats, 84 per cent have a good view of Biden, 82 per share of the first woman, 77 per cent of Harris, and 35 per cent of Hunter Biden, while 86 per cent of Republicans view Trump strongly.
Economic mood has improved substantially, with 32 per cent of voters grade the market as excellent or excellent, the highest during Biden’s presidency. Fifty- nine percent say they are financially stable or improving, up 5 points since last summer, and 44 per cent feel optimistic about the economy, a 9- point increase from 2023.
Biden’s job approval stands at 45 per cent, unchanged from last month but the best since January 2023. The country’s direction is being praised by 45 % of voters, which is still lower than it was when Biden took office in 2021. This is the highest percentage in more than three years.
Voters give handling problems a 59 % to 29 % chance of winning. Trump is trusted more on immigration ( + 9 points ) and the economy ( + 5 points ), though these advantages have narrowed since May. Biden is trusted more on health care ( + 10 points ) and the future of American democracy ( + 6 points ), with his biggest advantages on abortion ( + 13 points ) and climate change ( + 20 points ).
Kennedy’s support has declined, with his net favorability now at -11 points. In a two-way race, Biden and Trump have bipartisan support.
The survey, conducted June 14- 17, included 1, 095 registered voters and has a margin of error of ±3 percentage points.
