We ca n’t say definitively whether Donald Trump was the first of a new kind of politician or the last of an old kind because we do n’t know yet what will happen in November of 2024. Maybe he’s the forerunner of a groundbreaking new craze, even he’s a once-in-a-lifetime aberration – a problem in the Matrix – and after he exits the level, the trail he blazed will never be repeated.
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Not to wax all Rumsfeldian, but those are the” known unknowns” – the category of events we understand we still do n’t know, this includes the outcome on Election Day 2024. But there are also the “unknown unknowns” – i. e., the things we flat-out do n’t know that we do n’t know. When you are so ignorant that you ca n’t even anticipate the situation, this is when you become completely ignorant. ( It’s worse than not knowing the answer – it’s when you ca n’t even envision the question. )  ,
It’s also the biggest problem in long-term optimisation: You had over-emphasize the restricted number of variables you do know to mitigate all the factors you’re missing. This often leads to mistakes, exaggerations, and (very ) false estimates. Case in point: Every one fiscal estimation the authorities have made—ever.  ,
Luckily, we already have enough information about Donald Trump to clearly, clearly, 100 percent know how he’ll be remembered – and Really how the Trump legacy may remain recorded in history. Really. Here’s a walk look: Twenty years from today, he’ll be remembered badly. Thirty years from today, he’ll still be remembered ill. Same goes for 50 years from today! The critics, experts, researchers, professional protesters, and left-wing historians who were his contemporaries did never pardon Trump for upsetting the apple vehicle and depriving Hillary Clinton the president she so evidently deserved.
So that’s what’s happening in the near future.  ,
But when we look 100 years ( or more ) in the future—beyond the timeline of his critics ‘ living memories—the results change dramatically.
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Trump wo n’t ever get the praise he deserves as long as his critics are still alive. They are very emotionally invested in the anti-Trump movement to make political history objective judgments. When one’s soul, social networking, personal identification, and financial unit are opposed to an alternative point of view, it’s nearly impossible to change their minds.
It’s not even worth trying.
Humans are emotional creatures. We make emotional decisions. Sure, after the fact, we might justify our actions with an intellectual argument–” I bought that car because it’s so fuel efficient”! – but the raw, visceral emotions you experienced initially served as your initial motivators. In sales, in politics, in business, in school – and quite certainly in marriage – the emotional connection is our primary catalyst. Although intelligence is fine, emotions are the source of the drink’s sult.
Eventually, this generation of anti-Trumpers will grow old and die. Then, and only then, will the direct emotional bond between Trump and his critics be broken. And that’s when the history books will get interesting:
A century from now, to a 30-something-year-old journalist, Donald Trump will just be a name on Wikipedia– yet another politician who lived a long, long time ago. The “democracy dying in darkness” controversy will come off as somewhat absurd. When this happens, Trump will no longer be of emotional interest, instead, he will be of human interest.
And Donald Trump is a truly fascinating person’s story!
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You’ve probably heard the cliché:” History is written by the winners”. But it’s actually not true. What’s remembered is n’t necessarily who won or lost – it’s whatever the storyteller finds the most intriguing.
For Donald Trump, that’s his Trump card.
If you’re a historian in 2124, who are you going to write about? The brash political outsider who took on the establishment and won – carousing with porn stars, living in mansions, building high-rises, surviving an assassin’s bullet, and gleefully flipping the bird at his critics?  ,
Or do you wanna write about Millard Fillmore?
It’s not about politics but basic, primordial human nature: We gravitate to things that are fun. The ones we keep repeating are the ones we find most compelling. We’re attracted to people and events that are unusual, different, and exciting. And when we do, we create a form of cognitive bias called the “halo effect”: Since we view ourselves as good people, the things we like must be good, too.
The Far Left will always hate Donald Trump because he was the real-life embodiment of the conservative id. But once you strip away the media’s pearl-clutching and/or liberal hysterics, his presidential track record was pretty impressive: He jumpstarted the economy, squeezed China, redid NAFTA, kept Russia in a box, brokered multiple peace deals in the Middle East (!! ), improved ties to North Korea, crushed ISIS, hobbled Iran, achieved energy independence – and secured a conservative judiciary for at least a decade.
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Not bad for a single term. ( And if you’re a conservative, it certainly whets your appetite for an encore. ) It’ll take many, many decades, but eventually, the fog of anti-Trump indoctrination will dissipate. When the emotions subside, and future historians evaluate the Trump record, the results will speak for themselves. But what will speak even louder is Donald J. Trump, an all-American original – a political force so unfathomable that if it had n’t actually happened, we’d never believe it.
Therefore, Donald Trump will be VERY unkind in the history books you have written for your children. They’ll call him a monster, a rapist, a liar, a wannabe dictator, and a con man ( all in the first chapter, probably! ). And they’ll consistently call him one of the worst presidents that history has seen.
However, the historical texts your grandchildren will read will tell a completely different story.
And a much better story, too.  ,