The major to Donald Trump’s defeat in 2024 is no solution, and neither is Kamala Harris’s path to success. The state of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin may decide the winner. Both strategies were aware of this at the start.  ,
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For Harris, it comes down to basic mathematics. Without all 44 political seats in those three state, she must face a difficult task of obtaining enough votes to win.  ,
As of right today, Trump has already set the stage for at least one and maybe two of those three state. The Harris plan acknowledges that Michigan is a difficult condition to win in the Great Lakes State despite not explicitly admitting it.
Trump, with the inclinations of a forest cat, is going for the neck in Pennsylvania. His plan is pouring money and citizens into the state, hoping to win the election right away. He is aware that Harris would be essentially without the Keystone State’s 19 electoral votes to change him. And with Arizona’s 11 electoral vote trending clearly for Trump, Harris would basically be bread if she loses Pennsylvania.
Wisconsin is a real toss-up at this point. But even if Harris wins the Badger State, it wo n’t help her if she loses Pennsylvania and/or Michigan. The Harris administration is aware of this.
A top Harris campaign official said that the bigger issue is with Michigan, and that there has been a “guess that even Michigan or Wisconsin will fall off.”  ,
But what Harris ‘ campaign had assumed was one of its best plan options may also be in danger, which is both possible troubling for Democrats. In interviews only a few weeks ago, a number of Harris experts suggested that if Trump were to get Pennsylvania and claim its 19 electoral vote, Harris would have a powerful advantage using the combination of North Carolina and Nevada as a strong option.  ,
The Harris group is much less optimistic about winning, four people with knowledge of the dynamics said, despite North Carolina still in the party’s sights and Democrats also maintain robust organization and leadership it.  ,
” Of all of the seven]states], that one seems to be a little touch slipping aside”, the Harris campaign official said of North Carolina.  ,
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In the wake of Helene, polling in North Carolina is incredibly challenging. Trump has a slight edge over Trump, according to the most recent polls, but experts on the ground say that the Democrats are pessimistic about the Tar Heel State” slipping away.” With a flawed answer to the wind, Binden-Harris did themselves no benefits.
As you might believe, the Harris plan is whistling past the grave, trying to convey confidence.
There are no Southern, Sun Belt, or Blue Wall Paths to be seen. In a recent interview, Harris Battleground State Director Dan Kanninen stated that” seven claims that are as tight as it gets will all be decided by profits on the ground.” And therefore we constructed an activity that, in anticipation of that, could get near tribes on the ground. And in truth, the seventh has the best possibility of becoming the “tipping place” of the system.
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It would be very unusual for the blue walls claims to separate, according to Tad Devine, a Democrat strategist who ran political strategy for Democratic presidential contenders in 1988, 2000, and 2004, despite his not-ruling-it-out.
” Those three, the blue wall says, almost always be along, but this year it’s an incredibly tight competition. When you’re so near, it’s simple for the position to turn either way. It may happen this time”, he said. They will likely complete what they have done in successive cycles, in my opinion. They may go one way or another, in harmony. They are tied up historically with their ballot behavior” . ,
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The issue with that style of study is that it relies on historic data. You may toss story into the garbage in 2024. Which side will be chosen for this vote based on their best surface game and ability to entice their voters to cast ballots.