The conservatives were shocked when the Ann Selzer voting revealed Kamala Harris was in the lead in the ruby-red condition last night. The previous president was also irritated by Donald Trump’s victory in Iowa in both 2016 and 2020, as did the polls that showed he was 3 percentage points ahead of Kamala Harris. He called the poll false and Ann Selzer a Trump-hater.
” No President has done more for Producers, and the Great State of Iowa, than Donald J. Trump. In reality, it’s not even close! All surveys, aside from one that was heavily skewed in favor of Democrats by a Trump supporter who called it completely incorrect the previous day, have me up BY A LOT. I LOVE THE Producers, AND THEY LOVE ME. I’ve gained 10 items in Iowa since EMERSON POLL, WHICH IS JUST OUT OF EMERSON POLL. THANK YOU”! Trump wrote on Truth Social.
The surveys, conducted by Selzer &, Co for the Des Moines Register and Mediacom, was released Saturday. According to the poll, 47 % of Iowan voters favored Trump while 47 % favored Harris. Trump held a 9-point guide over him in the Emerson College poll that was released on Saturday.
Pollster Ann Selzer reacts to pushback
In an internet to Newsweek, Ann Selzer said:” These are the types of feedback seen for nearly any surveys, including me. With each account published by The Des Moines Register, a approach speech is included. The same analysis was used to predict Trump winning Iowa’s top elections in 2016 and 2020. It would not be in my best curiosity, or that of my clients—The Des Moines Register and Mediacom—to conjure false numbers”.
Selzer’s surveys surveyed 808 good Iowa citizens between October 28 and 31. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 place, which Harris ‘ guide is within.
Nate Magic on the Iowa elections from Selzer
Selzer has a history of being straight, Nate Silver claimed, but she is probably mistaken. ” Releasing this surveys required a tremendous amount of nerve because, let me say this as carefully as I can, Selzer will likely be mistaken at this point. Harris’s chances of winning Iowa nearly doubled in our model from 9 percent to 17 percent tonight, which is n’t nothing. Polymarket shows a similar pattern, moving from 6 percent to 18 percentage after the review. But that still places Harris’s conflict at around 5: 1 against”, Silver wrote.
