All eyes may be on Pennsylvania on Election Day, but there’s no reason we should n’t also be looking at Wisconsin. Which state is called foremost may actually be able to predict who will win the election. As several pundits and media outlets have claimed that protecting Pennsylvania is the secret to winning the presidency, this truly goes against standard wisdom, but yet social analyst Mark Halperin said that this mentality is a little foolish. ” Reorient yourself away from news framing that says it’s all about Pennsylvania” . ,
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According to Halperin, Kamala Harris” could win Pennsylvania and win the election, but she could also win Pennsylvania and lose the election because she does n’t win Wisconsin”. He cites his sources, two Democrats and one Democrat with extensive knowledge of the state, who said they would be” somewhere between stunned and shocked if Kamala Harris won Wisconsin to explain how important it has become.
For what it’s for, polling in Wisconsin for the 2024 civilization has been somewhat chaotic. Trump was away more than three items in the RealClearPolitics average when Joe Biden left the race. But after Kamala Harris became the Democratic nomination, those numbers immediately tightened. Throughout the last month, elections have frequently shown a neck-and-neck contest, with most indicating a one- to two-point variation and one exception giving Harris a six-point result. At this point in their individual tribes, Joe Biden’s or Hillary Clinton’s advantage is significantly less than one point ahead of Election Day.
Wisconsin is a particularly difficult state for pollsters, according to numerous liberal pundits and voting experts, who predict that Wisconsin polls may once again tilt pro-Democrat.
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Last WI Elections 2020
Biden + 2 by AtlasIntel
Susquehanna Biden + 3
Civiqs Biden + 4
Research Co Biden + 8
Emerson Biden + 8
Change Research Biden + 8
CNN/SSRS Biden + 8
SurveyMonkey Biden + 10
Swayabe Biden + 10
Ipsos Biden + 10
NYT/Siena Biden + 11
R&, W Biden + 12
Morning Consult Biden + 13— Patrick Ruffini ( @PatrickRuffini ) November 2, 2024
The evidence that Kamala’s plan may be dragging Democrat Sen. Tammy Baldwin down is more supporting the theory that Trump will exceed the surveys. Aldwin’s defeat of Eric Hovde in Wisconsin decreased in both open and internal polls, leading Republicans to increase spending in the position in an effort to turn a last-second screw in the making.
