There are no shortage of polls and projections available to be picked off because election day is just one day ahead. Due to the widespread disapproval of experts and authorities, away from “it’s going to be close” and “it’s a gold flip,” this time seems to be an aberration.
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Case in point: CNN’s Harry Enten, whose evaluation I’ve cited often here at PJ Media, is saying that based on CNN’s study of the surveys, this may turn out to be the closest vote in past in the Electoral College.  ,
Enten claimed that Kamala Harris can carry these Great Lake battleground states despite losing all of the Sunbelt battleground state, bringing her to a razor-thin 270 electoral votes, which is the exact amount needed to win, with Trump receiving 268 political seats.
Enten points out that this outcome may be” as close as it can be,” also more likely than Al Gore’s reportedly controversial 2000 election, which was expected to turn out to be 281 electoral votes. However, after a protracted recount and ballot-counting, George W. Bush triumphed in the end. Enten underscored the ancient relationship, adding,” It is the tightest that the elections have ever been projected on the political map… since 1972″.
I have no idea how where Enten’s overall came from. The numbers he cites do n’t reflect the RealClearPolitics average, and CNN’s latest poll had Trump and Kamala tied in Pennsylvania.  ,
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Yet he concedes that even if these numbers were accurately predicted, the projection is a virtual tie that could go either way. One candidate may still win by a sizable margin, saying,” If you were generally model this over, as a bunch of people do, may the 2024 winner get 300 plus democratic votes? A lot possibility of, yes, they will get at least 300 political seats”.
How is a contest appear so near with the possibility of an electoral scuffle? Enten explains this chance, attributing it to the ordinary polling error:” If you look up at swing state polling averages since 1972, the common error in the swing states is 3.4 points”. Any problem that continuously benefits one candidate had completely alter the election map because battleground states are all within this margin.
” If the margin of error gains Kamala Harris”, Enten says, she could move forward in both Great Lakes and Sunbelt says, potentially claiming “up to 319 electoral seats, a huge big disaster by yesterday’s standards”. Likewise, if the voting problem favors Trump, Enten says that he could turn the Great Lakes region along with Southwestern battleground states, and finally Trump gets “up to 312 political votes”.
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Related: What Will Happen in Wisconsin on Election Day?
” The bottom line is this”, Enten said. ” I’ve been coming to you day after day after day with figures, the only lesson at this point: it’s generally tight, but, generally, any situation is on the table”.
Well it’s official: the final polls of 2024 project out an electoral map that is the closest since at least 1972 with the leader ( Harris ) getting 270 electoral votes.
The polls were close at the end of 2000, as well, but Gore was projected as the final map with 281 votes. pic. twitter.com/FsHn1mQADf
— ( ( ( Harry Enten ) ) ) ( @ForecasterEnten ) November 4, 2024
The analysis by Enten’s is that he has no idea who will win. In his brief version, this is true. So go cast your ballots.
