Are you excited? Nervous? Just can’t wait for it to be over? I hear ya. Tomorrow is the big day, and we all want to know what’s going to happen. Of course, no one can predict with 100% certainty, but some pollsters get more credibility than others when they have a record of accuracy. The AtlasIntel poll was the most accurate pollster of 2020, and so when they release a poll, it carries a lot of weight.
Advertisement
And on Monday evening, they dropped their final poll of the election, which includes both national and battleground state polling.
First, Trump is ahead nationally, 49.2% to Kamala Harris’ 48.1%
ATLAS POLL – U.S. ELECTIONS
In the final Atlas poll before the election, the gap between Trump and Harris has narrowed to just 1.1 percentage point.
🔴 Trump: 49.2%
🔵 Harris: 48.1%
⚪ Others/Undecided: 2.7% pic.twitter.com/YUcBRJiq0l— AtlasIntel (@atlas_intel) November 5, 2024
In their head-to-head scenario, Trump also leads.
HEAD TO HEAD SCENARIO
The time series illustrates the stability of the race, with a slight improvement for Harris in the campaign’s final stretch.
🔴 Trump: 50%
🔵 Harris: 48.8% pic.twitter.com/chGOKWZU1q— AtlasIntel (@atlas_intel) November 5, 2024
Like in their previous poll of the battleground states, their final poll has Trump ahead in all seven swing states.
Trump’s largest lead is in Arizona, where he is ahead by 5.1 points, followed by Nevada (a 3.1-point advantage), North Carolina (a 2.1-point lead), Georgia (1.6-point margin), and Michigan, where he leads by 1.5 points. Trump also holds a narrow lead in Pennsylvania, where he is up by 1 point, and in Wisconsin, where he is ahead by 0.9 points.
Advertisement
Recommended: Trump’s Epic Final Campaign Ad Will Literally Give You Chills
However, AtlasIntel gave us something new. They’ve added Minnesota and Virginia. According to their polling, Kamala leads Trump by 5.4 points in Virginia and by 2.0 points in Minnesota.
ATLAS POLLS – SWING STATES
Among the battleground states, Trump leads in Nevada, Arizona, and North Carolina, while narrowing the 2020 margins in Virginia and Minnesota. However, Georgia and Pennsylvania, two of the most valuable states in the Electoral College, are close. pic.twitter.com/MNZUcLXNSA
— AtlasIntel (@atlas_intel) November 5, 2024
This poll, like their last one, translates into a Trump Electoral College victory of 312-226.
The FINAL poll from @atlas_intel, the most accurate pollster of 2020.
🟥Arizona: Trump +5.1
🟥Nevada: Trump +3.1
🟥North Carolina: Trump +2.1
🟥Georgia: Trump +1.6
🟥Michigan: Trump +1.5
🟥Pennsylvania: Trump +1.0
🟥Wisconsin: Trump +0.9
🟦Minnesota: Harris +2.0… pic.twitter.com/PkIQJkTj18— Matt Margolis (@mattmargolis) November 5, 2024
Again, I wouldn’t advise you to take any one poll as gospel. But, since AtlasIntel was so accurate in 2020, I think it’s worth paying attention to their polling.
Advertisement
Here at PJ Media, we want you to know what the liberal media won’t tell you. You can help us by becoming a VIP Platinum member today. By joining us, you will receive a $25 gift code to our brand new Townhall Media store as well as a LIFETIME discount. Read. Listen. And now WATCH and REPRESENT with VIP Platinum. Use promo code FIGHT for 60% off your new VIP Platinum membership!
