Trump’s plan is brimming with confidence as of the vote, which is being supported by strong internal polling and encouraging earlier election changes.  ,
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According to senior social scientist Mark Halperin, Trump’s player’s trust has been “extremely large” ever since Kamala Harris became the Democratic nomination. According to Halperin, the Trump base’s confidence is higher right now than it was in 2020 or 2016.
But, where’s this assurance coming from?  ,
For example, Halperin points out that Trump’s inside voting paints a really positive image. Trump’s campaign does n’t believe that Kamala Harris has effectively reassured voters about her capabilities as a commander-in-chief or economic steward. They do n’t think Kamala Harris has persuaded people to trust her to be a good leader in charge or a good steward of a healthy economy, he says. He says of Trump’s staff,” They believe they’ve done a better job of defining her on their conditions for the confused voters as failed, poor, and extremely liberal”. Some confused voters, who lean conventional on important issues like immigration and the economy, find this to be true.
Halperin points out that the Trump plan believes that” the beauty of the undecideds is more adult than feminine, more concerned about the market and immigration, and the problems Donald Trump has done well,” according to Halperin.
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Recommended:  , It’s Election Day, and the Algebra Looks Really Negative for Kamala Harris
He added that the Trump plan is “quite optimistic about the possibility of winning five out of seven, six of seven, or seven of seven of the battle state.” While they wo n’t say Harris has no chance, they’re far more confident than in previous election cycles, reflecting a sense of optimism that surpasses their 2016 and 2020 outlooks.
Trump’s plan released a letter detailing promising first election figures, which we reported about on Monday. In all the battleground state, the letter revealed that Republicans were outperforming Progressives in absentee ballots and early voting. The information highlighted in the note showed there’d been a decrease in industrial turnout for Democrats, while remote attendance appeared to be rising, probably benefiting Trump’s plan.
” I said … when the early, early voting came in, if this continued, there’d be no way to go into election moment and think she was win”, Halperin said. Although early voting numbers have seen some improvement for Democrats, they have n’t improved much, leaving Trump’s campaign emboldened by the overall trend.
Halperin, playing devil’s advocate, consulted a “fair-minded Republican strategist”, who thinks the early numbers are n’t going to be very predictive of the outcome, and Republicans should n’t read too much into them.
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No sober man has any belief in any of these irrational people who believe they may count votes based on the data, the strategist said, adding with caution that “we’ve been burned before.” This strategist’s fear highlights a hard-learned lesson from earlier elections, when data-based assumptions failed to account for late changes in voter turnout.
According to @Mark Halperin,” the level of trust in Donald Trump’s camp was really great when Joe Biden was the candidate and with few cuts since Kamala Harris became the candidate.” They’re stating that their inner surveys indicate that he is doing pretty well. They do n’t believe that Kamala Harris has convinced people that … pic. twitter.com/R4XuJkkglu— 2WAY ( @2waytvapp ) November 5, 2024
Unfortunately, the Trump administration’s optimism rests on solid internal polling, effective communication, and early ballot styles that suggest solid rural turnout. Maybe their trust is n’t misplaced.
