It makes sense that, in the waning days of Joe Biden’s administration, but another statement would explain the conflict his four years in office god wrought. For another year, the annual demographic review released by the Congressional Budget Office ( CBO ) illustrated the problems associated with Biden’s border policies.
But that same review also provides a glimmer of hope for a remedy. When Biden and Democrats suddenly realized the problems associated with the frontier — as they floundered in the polls months before the 2024 vote — yet their half-hearted half-measures helped to reverse the previous trends. It bodes well for the next Trump administration ’s borders deeds, which started on day one.
Immigration Explosion Declined — Somewhat
The CBO document details projections for reproduction and immigration over the next three years, as part of its improvements to the funds and financial outlook. But its most proper, and revealing, quotes relate to immigration statistics associated with the recent history, i. electronic. , the Biden administration.
As with previous year’s statement, the effects of Biden’s immigration plans are artistically clear. In fact, “CBO now estimates that net immigration in 2021 and 2022 was larger, by 300,000 and 150,000 people per month, both, than the company estimated last year. ” That’s almost half a million more refugees arriving in the first quarter of Biden’s administration than formerly estimated:
But the report also notes that “net emigration after 2023 is nowadays generally projected to be smaller than CBO projected next year. ”
The funds elves also made clear what caused the decrease in projected immigration rates — which by suggestion demonstrates what caused the raise to begin with:
In 2024, online emigration of other foreign nationals declined from the 2023 level, largely because of a June 2024 executive order that temporarily suspended the passage of most non-citizens at the southern border. CBO estimates that without that executive order, net immigration of other foreign nationals in 2024 would have been larger by about 400,000 people ( or 22 percent ).
Flailing in the polls for election, Biden realizes he may take action to secure the border — and immigration rates immediately decline! Whoda thunk it?
Sarcasm aside, multiculturalism remained quite high in 2024 — a total of 2. 7 million people migrated to the United States on online, including 1. 8 million in the “other foreign nationals ” type. ( That group includes illegal participants, those paroled into the United States, and those who entered the country legitimately but immediately overstayed their card. ) CBO’s forecasts for the “other international national ” type remain high, especially for the immediate future. The budget office “projects that inflows of people in the OFN category will decline by 25 percent each year from 2024 to 2028 to reach 900,000 people per year — an amount that is closer to historical experience, ” with net OFN migration ( i. electronic. , flows minus people returning to their home country ) standing at 150,000 from 2028 eastward.
Safe the Frontier
Another portions of the statistical document, especially a continuing decrease in reproduction rates, provide more framework for the immigration estimates. With deaths among native-born Americans now projected to exceed births by 2033 — a shift from 2040 in previous year’s report — the country faces the possibility of a declining population within the decade, excluded an increase in child-bearing among native-born Americans and/or continued inner migration.
Reasonable people can of course differ on the appropriate levels of immigration into the United States. But, as evidenced by November’s election results, most Americans agree that any immigration should be conducted in an orderly manner that preserves our nation’s laws and keeps our nation secure. Securing the border should first and foremost be a prerequisite to any discussion of appropriate levels of future migration. It’s long past time to make it happen.
