A Carrot for Putin

I make it a point not to react in the” Responses” part of my own articles. Reason being, I feel like whatever place I had to produce, I now made it in the content. The” Comments” section allows other people a chance to chime in. Whether or not they agree or disagree with my post, I made the decision to not answer out of contempt. Quite the opposite. Anyone who wants to participate should be able to discuss the issue at hand.

However, I do like reading the comments to learn different points of view. Sure, there are always a dozen troglodytes who scream monosyllabic against the obscene spectacle of those who dare to express opinions that might not be their own. But, by and large, it’s really nice, conventional, fair, and legal debate amongst traditional Americans. And that’s great. Because, like those scrumptious 5th Avenue chocolate bars, you simply can’t find it too many sites again.

But as I perused through the feedback to my post yesterday,” An Spontaneous Error On Ukraine”?, I considered all the natural counterarguments, all of which I actually do understand. Russia, China, and Iran are the three biggest physical challenges to the United States, as I pointed out in my post. Some commentators argued that China’s danger was far greater than Russia’s and Iran’s threats combined. I agree, and I really have clarified this. However, I thought this matter merited its unique content because it might play a significant role in Trump’s relationship with Russia.

But thank you, readers, for the reading topic. And thank you for allowing me to sleep through this until 2AM.

Vladimir Putin is completely aware of the threat that his nation faces. Putin isn’t afraid of NATO, which is largely made up of EU appeasement twerps who prefer to expose their own daughters to Muslim murder gangs than exhibit a minimum of self-aggrandizement to defend their own citizens. It doesn’t matter if NATO “expanded” to the floormat outside Putin’s home. He’d sleeping soundly, knowing how secure he was. Trump is undoubtedly aware of this, and Trump’s hatred for NATO should dispel any piece of legitimate concern Putin may have once mistakenly believed.

One of Putin’s many tragedies is that it more weakened his broken and suffering nation as a result of the country’s attempted colonization by China, which is still ongoing. Not that this was a thought that Xi had when the Soviet tanks started moving toward Kiev. For more than three decades, China has been actively attempting to conquer Russia.

The ethnic Russian population of Russia’s Far East has declined&nbsp, 20 % since 1991, while the Chinese immigrant population ( albeit some of it seasonal ) has increased to the point that some regions enjoy less than 50 % ethnic Russian inhabitancy. The Chinese government now makes official maps available for public viewing that refer to some Russian border cities ( including Vladivostok ) by their original Chinese names. &nbsp,

The entire population of Russia’s Far East, including these non-Russians, is about 8.1 million individuals. The entire population of Manchuria, the Chinese territory which borders it, is more than 107 million persons. If China decides to annex any of the Far East, Russia’s tried strategy of just throwing its limitless supply of fresh men into the front lines would be futile.

Putin has long been aware of the threat posed by the demographics. Again in 2000, talking to citizens of the border town of Blagoveshchensk, he said,” If you do nothing to alter the socioeconomic development of the area, your children may respond Taiwanese”. Russian authorities have taken measures to combat this effect, including codifying the preference for ethnic Russians and Russian speech requirements for Chinese immigrants. But this is window washing. Not only has Putin been unable to stop the invasion, he doesn’t try consider military action against China, perhaps to defend reasonable Russian place.

China has also spent more than ten years slowly removing the former Soviet republics of Central Asia from Russia’s orbit and into its own. Most of these countries, including Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, and Kyrgyzstan, owe most of their external debt to China, and many sectors of their economies are entirely dependent upon Chinese consumption. China soon established military installations along the Afghan-Tajik border following Biden’s unconditional surrender to illiterate zoosexuals, which led to significant investment in Afghan rare mineral mining.

It is noteworthy that Xi’s first announcement in 2013 of China’s Belt and Road Initiative took place in Kazakhstan. In this respect, Xi understands 21st century geopolitics better than Putin. You don’t need tanks and bombs to control a weak neighbor. And it doesn’t matter if a place is diplomatically referred to as” Kazakhstan” or” Russian Far East”, because if it’s effectively controlled by China, then that’s all that matters.

And lastly, Russia’s main exports to China are oil and gas. Indeed, they account for over half&nbsp, of all Russian exports to China. These profits will drop once Trump restarts American energy production.

I could give many more examples. In summary, Putin has far greater influence over Russia because of its growing reliance on and vulnerability toward China than the absurd peyote dream of Belgian troops scurrying across the Donbass. Again, Putin knows this, but he lacks the courage and the means to resist Chinese encroachment on not only Russia’s jealously guarded spheres of influence, but upon Russia itself.

Could Trump use a peace treaty with Ukraine as a means of excluding Russia from China and, perhaps, forming a convenient Russo-American alliance? Putin can resent us decadent Westerners at his will, but if Trump can persuade him to put our nation’s interests before our own crimes of not being complete basket case failures like Russia, things could start to turn in a very productive and cooperative way.

So maybe that’s the” carrot”, more than any Ukrainian valley or strategic road, that Trump can dangle before Putin.

In 2018 and 2019, President Trump met with North Korea’s Kim Jong-Un in an effort to establish formal relations. Jong-Un reluctantly agreed to meet with Trump outside of his native Hermit Kingdom, despite his extreme paranoia about leaving the Hermit Kingdom. Trump made the strategic decision to host meetings in Singapore and Vietnam. &nbsp,

The psychological message was clear: Vietnam is technically a” communist” country, but they opened their markets, and now the place is booming. Singapore, a city-state smaller than Pyongyang, &nbsp, ranks &nbsp, 10th in the world for mean wealth per adult. If you modernized your economy, granted some fundamental human rights, and opened your doors to the West, this is what North Korea might look like. You can dependably benefit from capitalism and obtain the prosperity and security that nuclear weapons cannot.

Although the meetings didn’t lead to an immediate normalization of relations ( they weren’t expected ), Jong-Un appeared genuinely intrigued by the economic potentials ahead of him. But then, as we know, America decided to elect a drooling, meandering sock puppet, and pretty much every inch of diplomatic progress that Trump had made anywhere in the world evaporated overnight.

If Trump can successfully give Putin the Jong-Un approach ( i. e., do a little ego massaging, give him public security “guarantees” that are already ground realities, etc. ), and help him behind the scenes against China, Russia could conceivably evolve into a semi-reliable… well, if not ally, then at least a cordial acquaintance. For all of Russia’s numerous faults, the western third of the country is, culturally and historically, more European than Asiatic. We should support China from the inside out. Putin himself should never be trusted for a second, but maybe he can be “redirected”, as it were, if he felt it can help him secure his precious Potemkin empire.

And maybe one day, after Putin is gone, Russia will finally get its act together.

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