Brazil is beginning to consider a potential without the polarizing political in the photo as far-right former president Jair Bolsonaro is set to go on trial for revolution costs.
If found guilty of attempting to oust Luiz Inacio Lula de Silva from power after the communist won by a beard, the 70-year-old faces a prison sentence of 40 times and social imprisonment.
Is this the close of a political era with 79-year-old Lula’s potential questionable?
– A saint –
Bolsonaro may end up in jail, according to Daniela Campello, a political science professor at the Getulio Vargas Foundation, a renowned consider container.
Bolsonaro will need to get around a moratorium on him holding company until 2030, which was put in place after he was found guilty of disinformation about Brazil’s electoral system during the 2022 election he lost.
The former army captain has vowed to support the democratic straight, of which he continues to be the unopposed candidate in 2026 elections.
In some opinion surveys, he leads Lula, who has not indicated whether he will run for re-election in the face of concerns about his health and low approval ratings.
Bolsonaro’s trial is scheduled to start immediately, so that it is unlikely to interfere with the build-up of the election.
Bolsonaro will try his best to keep his supporters as passionate as possible in his campaign, according to Casa Politica scientist Marcio Coimbra.
In the event that his nomination is rejected, he is said to good choose his personable family Michele or one of his politician children as his running mate.
Jose Niemeyer, a professor of global relations at Brazil’s Ibmec University, warned that “if he is convicted, he may be a martyr.”
– Opposition on the right? –
Bolsonaro’s opponents to the Portuguese straight and far-right, which together control the majority in the country, may start to emerge as he fights the charges brought against him, say experts.
Tarcisio de Freitas, government of Sao Paulo position and former member of Bolsonaro’s government, is one of the frequently mentioned names.
Romeu Zema and Ratinho Junior, the rulers of the state of Minas Gerais and Parana, are other names.
None of the candidates have publicly backed the director, and none have even publicly supported it.
Bolsonaro will continue to be Brazil’s top political figure, according to Freitas ‘ statement on X this year.
– Lula’s suffering? –
Bolsonaro’s test should be a benefit for Lula, but it comes as his own approval score has dropped to just 24 percent, the lowest level in his first two conditions, which started in 2023, from 2003 to 2010.
Public outcry over higher prices is thought to be the main cause.
Regardless of who controls the seat, Portuguese voter loyalty is essentially guaranteed, according to analysts.
However, Niemeyer speculated that the impact on Lula, next 81, could be negative if Bolsonaro disappeared into the social abyss by 2026.
According to the Ibmec teacher, many voters believe Lula’s primary significance is being an “antidote to Bolsonaro,” and Lula may start to appear unlikable now that his rival has been eliminated.
